World Market for Dairy Products and Alternatives

November 2024

As global inflation and GDP growth rates decline, the dairy products and alternatives industry expects low value growth in 2024, although the forecast period looks more promising. In this context, private label is expanding as consumers prioritise affordability, while dairy products are increasingly integrated into fast-growing snacking occasions driven by busy lifestyles. Additionally, with consumers seeking health benefits and valuing sustainability, the plant-based segment continues to grow.

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Key Findings

Consumers look for health benefits in dairy products, including digestive health, high protein and mental wellbeing

Dairy manufacturers must recognise the diverse health benefits consumers seek from dairy products. This includes prioritising probiotics and gut health, expanding kefir offerings, providing high-protein options and addressing the needs of lactose-intolerant consumers. Additionally, there is increasing interest in dairy's role in supporting mental health.

Dairy products are increasingly participating in snacking occasions with convenient and portable packaging

Dairy producers should explore new ways to provide value for those with busy lifestyles, positioning dairy products as convenient, healthful meal replacements with high protein content. Brands should consider both at-home and on-the-go consumption occasions of time-strapped consumers, especially targeting urban areas where younger consumers seek convenient nutrition.

Plant-based dairy keeps on developing, supported by health, sustainability, animal welfare and expanding portfolios

Plant-based dairy manufacturers are increasing their portfolios with sophisticated, functional innovations, incorporating new flavours and health benefits, such as high protein, cholesterol lowering and immunity. Industry players must focus on high quality, taste and moderated price gaps versus traditional dairy products, to face challenges such as a return to natural products.

Private label continues to grow since consumers look for affordability in dairy products and alternatives

As food inflation is expected to persist in the coming years, consumers will keep on looking for value-for-money options. Private label is expected to keep on growing in value share, as players continue to expand their portfolios and consumers who try them realise their similar quality to that of established brands.

Major dairy players and consumers share concerns about sustainability and are acting accordingly

As catastrophes related to climate change continue to intensify, consumer concerns are expected to increase. Trying to have a positive impact on the environment, consumers are choosing locally-sourced dairy products for their claimed environmental credentials, while major dairy players are adopting strategies to reduce their ecological footprint.

Scope
Examining five trends shaping dairy products and alternatives
Dairy sector decelerates in 2024, although it expects higher growth over the forecast period
Cheese is sparking growth around the world, but in the US, butter and spreads was fastest
India and Indonesia are anticipated to be the main growth drivers for dairy products in APAC
Plant-based dairy and cheese show the highest future growth, while baby food is stagnant
India’s development and the US cheese market will drive industry growth
GDP per capita and population growth will contribute to the growth of the industry
E-commerce and discounters thrive as the fastest growing distribution channels
Top five players lose ground while private label grows supported by affordability and quality
The top three players lead the market with diverse portfolios and global presence
Danone leads with a strong presence in yoghurt, milk formula and plant-based milk
Fastest growing companies operate in emerging economies
Examining five trends shaping dairy products and alternatives
Consumers continue to seek multiple health benefits in dairy products and alternatives
Innovation and functionality grow in products with high protein content
Dairy functional products respond to consumers’ need for mental wellbeing
Dairy products are meeting snacking needs as consumers seek time-saving options
Busy lifestyles bring opportunities for convenient dairy products and on-the-go consumption
Health, sustainability and animal welfare still drive the growth of plant-based dairy
Plant-based portfolios expand in variety and sophistication to keep growing
Private label continues to grow in an environment of decreasing consumer purchasing power
Inflation has brought opportunities for private label growth and packaging reduction
Consumers are worried about climate change and are trying to make a difference
Local production and support to local communities are important attributes for consumers
Global snapshot of baby food
Global snapshot of butter and spreads
Global snapshot of cheese
Global snapshot of drinking milk products
Global snapshot of other dairy
Global snapshot of yoghurt and sour milk products
Global snapshot of plant-based dairy
Regional snapshot: Asia Pacific
Regional snapshot: Australasia
Regional snapshot: Eastern Europe
Regional snapshot: Latin America
Regional snapshot: Middle East and Africa
Regional snapshot: North America
Regional snapshot: Western Europe
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