Global Economic Outlook: Q2 2025
The global economy has witnessed growing headwinds since early 2025, as trade policy shocks from the US weigh on the global supply chain and business and consumer confidence.
Economies
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We explore key areas of the economic landscape to provide you with a deeper understanding of socio-economic trends and macroeconomic forecasts to help guide business planning and investment strategies.
By delivering insights on economic trends, inflation rates, labour market dynamics and global trade patterns, we help you future proof and align your strategies with changing economic conditions.
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Euromonitor International’s Economies Team secured 13 first-place prizes for exceptional economic forecasting at the FocusEconomics 2024 Analyst Forecast Awards.
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Economic insights
17 Jun 25 | UTC: 12:00 AM
What’s the potential impact of Trump’s policies across industries and economies? Stream this webinar to examine four major concerns right now: tariffs, migration, deregulation and consumer demand.
Register nowAdapting to Uncertainty: The Impact on US Consumer Income and Expenditure
President Trump’s 2025 package of higher tariffs, tax cuts and tighter immigration controls is reshaping US consumer markets. Uncertainty and rising inflation expectations are dampening demand, and spending growth across all categories is expected to moderate, with no clear winners. While many incentives may sunset with the 2029 term limit, elevated tariffs and weaker investment incentives are likely to suppress confidence and spending for at least another two years post-administration.
Commodity Market Outlook Q2 2025: Weaker Demand Outlook Amid Policy Uncertainty to Cap Price Growth
Global commodity markets are under pressure in 2025 amid rising trade tensions, US protectionism, and slowing global growth. Energy prices remain subdued, with oil at a 4-year low due to oversupply concerns and weak demand, while a stronger supply outlook for major crops is set to keep downward pressure on food commodity prices. Meanwhile, metals markets remain mixed, as policy-driven volatility curbs price momentum despite prospects for recovery later in the year.
Global Trade Landscape: Impact and Opportunities of Trump Tariffs
Watch this panel to unpack the impact of Trump’s tariffs on the global trade landscape. You’ll gain insights to help you operate in today’s volatile economy as policy shifts continue at speed.
Trump Tariffs and Trade Tensions: Preparing Your Business for Shifts
Trump’s tariffs are reshaping international trade, disrupting supply chains and creating challenges for businesses. How could this impact your company? Watch now.
Disinflation and Divergence in the Global Economy Explained
As we hit the mid-point of 2024, there are two key themes to watch in the global economy, namely disinflation and divergence.
The Business of Uncertainty: Impact of Trump Policies Across Industries
What’s the potential impact of Trump’s policies across industries and economies? Stream this webinar to examine four major concerns right now: tariffs, migration, deregulation and consumer demand.
Economic Outlook for 2025: Global Forecasts and Insights
What's the global economic outlook for 2025? And how will current projections impact consumer spending power or business opportunities? Find those answers in our webinar. Watch now.
2025 Global Economic Update and Mid-Year Outlook
Your mid-year outlook for the global economy in 2025. Find the latest projections for GDP growth and inflation to support your strategy and scenario planning.
[Opportunity Minded] Your Quick Guide for a Strategic Market Assessment
Opportunity Minded—a series about business growth for forward thinkers. Grab your quick guide for a strategic market assessment to get started.
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Using our economic research you have access to up-to-date macroeconomic forecasts and can compare different economic scenarios to plan ahead.
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- 40+ years of historic data and forecasts to 2040
- Over 200 countries and regional aggregates researched
- Monthly and quarterly updates of macroeconomic indicators
- Quarterly global economic forecast reports
- Annual political, economic, social and technological analysis
- Pressure test alternative economic scenarios
- Global, regional and country reports
Economic analysis
Assess future demand and costs; anticipate volatility; identify risks and growth opportunities
Financial modelling
Populate forecasts; scenario testing; revenue growth projections
Strategic advisory
Market entry guidance; expansion and investment planning; strategic decisions with data-driven insights
- 40+ years of historic data and forecasts to 2040
- Monthly and quarterly updates of key economic indicators
- Over 200 countries and regional aggregates researched
- Insights into business operating environments, regulatory burdens, labour conditions and skills in 103 countries
Risk assessment
Operational risks; labour market potential; business environment analysis
Strategic planning
Assess costs of doing business; prospects for innovation; overall business competitiveness
Policy guidance
Skills gap analysis; workforce development; policy-making support
- Over 40 years of historic data and forecasts to 2040 for commodity prices and agriculture producer prices
- Over 200 countries and regional aggregates researched
- Monthly updates of commodity price data
- Datasets covering agriculture, energy and other resources, commodity prices and environmental topics like biodiversity, water, pollution and waste
- Country reports
Supply chain management
Track raw materials; prepare for disruptions and price shocks; adjust sourcing strategies; assess environmental impact
Trade analysis
Identify export opportunities; negotiate trade agreements; assess economic conditions
Investment planning
Inform strategies; optimise future investments; risk evaluation
- 18 years of historic data and forecasts to 2040
- More than 300 indicators across 1,200+ cities, covering the economy, labour, population, households, incomes and spending patterns
- Cities income distribution model
- Analysis of city socio-economic trends
Market expansion
Identify prospective markets; tailor marketing; new product strategies
Urban analysis
Track urbanisation patterns; socio-economic developments; policy shaping
Strategic insights
Urban socio-economic analysis; market entry guidance; expansion planning
Questions we help answer
Euromonitor’s market research reports are an excellent starting point to understand how global economies will be impacted by domestic and external shocks. For more detailed data analytics and insights, combined with the ability to pressure test different economic scenarios, Passport is the resource you need.
Passport allows you to compare the strengths and weaknesses of different economies through data analytics and insights. Alternatively, if you require custom research to understand areas best primed for growth and expansion, relevant to your industry, our consulting team is ready to help you.
Euromonitor’s market research reports are an excellent starting point to understand the landscape of different countries. For more detailed data analytics and insights, Passport’s income distribution model helps you compare incomes by city and evaluate the level of impact different macroeconomic scenarios will have.
