Natural increase will drive brisk population expansion in Iraq in 2021-2040. Falling fertility and birth rates will drive an acceleration in ageing, however the median age will remain youthful in a global context. Faster growth in the working age population compared to general growth could bring about a demographic advantage, but only if sufficient jobs and training are created. Swift urbanisation will lead to more than three-quarters of the population living in an urban area by 2040.
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