Competitor Strategies in Hot Drinks

May 2025

The hot drinks industry remains relatively stable, yet faces challenges such as climate change, inflation and trade wars. With price hikes inevitable, hot drinks companies are set to actively launch new product innovation and adopt premiumisation strategies to drive growth, while focusing on product optimisation through acquisition or divestments. Meanwhile, specialist coffee and tea shops from Asia Pacific are actively expanding their footprint, posing stiff competition to incumbent players.

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Key Findings

Coffee landscape set to be led by leading major players such as Nestlé and JDE

In 2024, the market shares of key players in hot drinks remained largely unchanged, a notable shift for a sector that has experienced significant mergers and acquisitions over the past decade. That said, with the growing competition in the industry, tariff hikes as well as evolving coffee consumption where consumers are drinking more at home, acquisitions are set to continue.

Developing markets continue to be key focus for leading hot drinks companies

Hot drinks companies, traditionally strong in developed countries, are facing market saturation due to mature consumption levels. Consequently, they are focusing more on developing markets with lower per capita consumption and large population. Additionally, they are appealing to young consumers, particularly with cold coffee, which remains popular.

Premiumisation and innovation critical for hot drinks players amidst the challenging environment

Amidst the challenging environment of price hikes, hot drinks players are actively launching new products and focusing on a premiumisation strategy to drive growth. This is in the form of positioning wellness through new products and a focus on coffee concentrates to appeal to convenience and consumers’ busy lifestyles.

Expansion of Asian specialist coffee shops set to pose stiff competition to incumbent hot drinks players

The increasing expansion of Asian specialist coffee shops such as Luckin Coffee is set to provide consumers a wider variety and availability of coffee. This is especially evident in 2025, where they plan to enter new markets like the US, posing stiff competition to incumbent foodservice players like Starbucks. Nevertheless, it remains to be seen how trade wars and tariffs would impact their expansion plans.

Executive summary
Companies at a glance
Nestlé retains a big lead in a largely stable market landscape in hot drinks
Market momentum growth continues to drive sales of leading hot drinks players
Developing markets continue to be key focus for leading hot drinks companies
Nestlé, Strauss/São Miguel and Unilever lead in active category share
Most top 10 players achieve close to 100% of total sales with their power brands
Company rankings expected to remain stable, with minimal changes in leading players
Tariffs loom large and pile uncertainty onto company strategies
Nestlé continues to dominate in hot drinks through innovations amidst challenges
Uphill challenge, yet JDE relies mainly on innovation and sustainability to grow
Expansion of Asian specialist coffee shops to challenge leading coffee players
Foodservice players launch ready-to-drink coffee and concentrates to excite consumers
Competitive landscape: The future outlook for coffee
Lipton Teas & Infusions seeks to revamp its positioning amidst stiff competition
Tata Tea focuses on health and premiumisation to drive value growth
Other tea brands launch new innovations targeted at new occasions and premiumisation
Competitive landscape: The outlook for tea
Key findings
Recommendations
Projected company sales: FAQs

Hot Drinks

This is the aggregation of Coffee, Tea, and Other Hot Drinks.

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