Navigating Market Volatility: Future Proofing Global Supply Chains

June 2025

After a short period of stabilisation, global supply chains face new disruptions that are longer lasting and more difficult to predict. Factors such as changing trade landscape, geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty and technology shifts will cause more disruptions. The briefing explores the potential impact on supply chains, sectors most impacted by disruptions and how companies can adapt.

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Key Findings

Structural changes in global economy will take time, resulting in longer-lasting disruptions

After a period of stabilisation over 2023-2024, global supply chains again feel new pressures. New challenges are expected to be longer lasting and more unpredictable, driven by changing trade landscape and economic restructuring, requiring a comprehensive review of global supply networks.

Changing trade landscape necessitates supply chain review

The changing global trade landscape is expected to affect a wide range of goods, from B2B components to consumer products. Developed economies will face higher costs on high-value exports. Emerging economies, especially those in Asia, will be significantly affected due to their reliance on lower-value exports to the US, such as textiles and toys.

Asia still promises growth opportunities

Despite increasing supply chain pressures, companies can still uncover new growth opportunities, especially in Asia. The Asia Pacific region is forecast to expand manufacturing output by USD10 trillion by 2030, benefitting from supply chain diversification efforts and investments in machinery, hi-tech goods and chemical products industries.

Managing cost of change will be critical

Managing the cost of change will be a critical priority for manufacturing companies as they undertake supply chain diversification. This includes managing direct costs associated with new investments and expansion of supplier pool, as well as technological and geopolitical risks that may arise.

Strategies to mitigate long-term risks will be important

Supply chain diversification efforts are expected to drive investments into new production facilities, which will be in operation for the next 10-15 years. Developing strategies for how to mitigate long-term risks, such as climate change, geopolitical landscape or skills gap, and avoid major disruptions will become more important.

Why read this report?
Key findings
Manufacturing sector’s growth slows amid growing uncertainty
After a short period of stability, global supply chains again face uncertainty
Steps to future proof supply chains
High supply concentration of critical goods drives changes in US trade policy
Higher US import tariffs to have immediate effect on domestic consumption
Changing US trade policy to have long-lasting effects on global supply chains
China’s restrictions on exports to the US is the highest risk to supply chains
Supply chain diversification is required to shield from future trade disruptions
Managing costs will be critical in supply chain transition
Case study: GM leans on extensive supplier network to minimise cost pressures
AI tools promise to help better manage costs and improve efficiency
Technology change can create new supply chains risks for companies
Gradual approach and improvements in data quality can reduce the risks
Case study: Schaeffler and Microsoft team up to launch AI platform
Changes in production network to provide new growth opportunities in Asia
Asia Pacific to grow manufacturing production value by USD10 trillion by 2030
Investments in supporting industries can further accelerate growth
Case study: Tata Electronics helps to strengthen Apple’s supply chain in India
Ageing population will increase global skills shortages
Skills gap will slow down supply chain diversification efforts
Investment in worker upskilling and automation are part of the solution
BMW deploys humanoid robots for routine tasks in US factory
Case study: Toyota aims to retain older workers for longer
Changes in supply chains must consider climate risks
Water scarcity poses a challenge for critical industries
Case study: TSMC aims to reduce water consumption at Arizona plant
Recommendations for growth
Evolution of supply chain disruptions
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