Staple Foods in Western Europe

April 2025

There was a definite spike in retail sales of staple foods in 2020 due to COVID-19 and its various restrictions, but volumes had been declining since then, not least given the rebound in foodservice sales in 2021 and the inflationary environment in more recent years. As inflation eased, modest growth was recorded in both volume and real value terms in Western Europe in 2024, with more of the same expected in the coming years.

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Key findings

Inflation eases but is still exerting pressure on purchasing power

Growth was modest in both volume and real value terms in the Western European staple foods market in 2024, with the inflationary environment of recent years having pushed up prices and impacted consumers’ spending power. However, demand for these staple products remains relatively constant, given the importance of many of them to Western Europeans’ diets.

Private label and artisanal products account for almost two thirds of staple foods

Nomad Foods and Barilla Holdings, the two leading players regionally, have shares of just over 1% in what is a fragmented market, particularly in baked goods, in which artisanal products account for almost two thirds of retail value. Even in staple foods as a whole, artisanal products have a 30% share, just behind private label on 31%.

Discounters make major gains in Turkey

While modern grocery retailers dominate sales in Western Europe, the many local bakeries selling artisanal products mean that food/drink/tobacco specialists is also an important distribution channel in staple foods, especially in baked goods. Discounters – particularly attractive to cash-strapped shoppers – have been making gains, especially in Turkey, where their share rose from just 9% back in 2017 to 26% in 2024.

Second tranche of HFSS regulations due in the UK in October 2025

The second set of HFSS regulations are set to be introduced in the UK in October 2025. These will include limitations on multibuy offers and a ban on advertising both online and on television. This will likely continue to push brand owners to reformulate any products high in fat, salt or sugar ahead of the upcoming legislation.

Scope
Key findings
Western Europe expected to lose top spot as the biggest regional market for staple foods
Modest annual growth rates expected over the forecast period
Western Europe has the biggest baked goods market among the global regions
Rice, pasta and noodles in Turkey records the most dynamic growth in 2019-2024
Germany now the region’s biggest meat and seafood substitutes market
Baked goods dominate the new retail value sales added over 2019-2024
Inflation still having an effect on volume sales in Italian staple foods in 2024
In spite of the HFSS regulations, convenience remains important for UK consumers
Modern grocery retailers dominate sales of staple foods in Western Europe
Food/drink/tobacco specialists remain a key channel in baked goods sales
Artisanal products contribute to fragmented competitive landscapes
McCain acquires plant-based frozen food brand Strong Roots
Germany and the UK account for almost half of regional private label sales between them
Barilla Holding brands move up the rankings over 2019-2024
Modest annual growth rates expected over the forecast period in Western Europe
Chilled pasta will continue outperforming its dried counterpart in Italy
Further HFSS regulations to be introduced in the UK from October 2025
Austria: Market Context
Austria: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Belgium: Market Context
Belgium: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Denmark: Market Context
Denmark: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Finland: Market Context
Finland: Competitive and Retail Landscape
France: Market Context
France: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Germany: Market Context
Germany: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Greece: Market Context
Greece: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Ireland: Market Context
Ireland: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Italy: Market Context
Italy: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Netherlands: Market Context
Netherlands: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Norway: Market Context
Norway: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Portugal: Market Context
Portugal: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Spain: Market Context
Spain: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Sweden: Market Context
Sweden: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Switzerland: Market Context
Switzerland: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Turkey: Market Context
Turkey: Competitive and Retail Landscape
UK: Market Context
UK: Competitive and Retail Landscape

Staple Foods

NOTE: Couscous, polenta and quinoa are excluded from staple foods.

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