With the global alcohol industry performance in negative territory and still lingering macroeconomic and geopolitical risks on the horizon, what are the key trends providing opportunities, cautionary tales and glimpses of the future amidst the challenges?
This report comes in PPT.
Geopolitical upheaval and inflationary spikes leading to an acute cost-of-living crisis inevitably derailed the short-lived post-pandemic boom and supressed performances across the board. First signs of a renewed if tentative recovery are now visible but significant downside risks remain.
Global on-trade volumes still stand 10% lower than their pre-pandemic peak, facing generational shifts in drinking patterns and the channel is the most vulnerable to any further economic or political shocks.
While aspirational consumption and ever more sophisticated drinking patterns have proven to be remarkably resilient in the face of the cost-of-living crisis, signs of eclectic trading down and across and loss of some momentum for high-end offerings become visible.
The advancing and rapidly evolving mindful drinking trend, the latest iterations of the chameleonic RTD segment and the affordability credentials of other sparkling wine prove key against the backdrop of shifting lifestyles and economic headwinds. Conversely, champagne and cognac suffer for the same reasons.
E-commerce - still comparatively underdeveloped and accounting for just 3% of global retail sales in 2023 - is now past the pandemic era-induced boom with growth rates moderating. However, its long-term strategic importance - and that of digital realms such as social media, or a myriad potential AI applications - will undoubtedly shape the industry’s future.
Alcoholic drinks is the aggregation of beer, wine, spirits, cider/perry and RTDs.
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