The Future of On-Trade Alcoholic Drinks

March 2025

On the surface, the outlook for on-trade alcoholic drinks is not a positive one. A cautious consumer spending mindset and changing priorities mean people are going out less frequently than in the past or drinking less when they do. Elevated input costs are adding to the industry’s difficulties. Yet, demand still calls for memorable experiences and spaces to connect – perhaps now more than ever. On-trade spending goes beyond simple purchase transactions, underscoring the nature of opportunities.

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This report comes in PPT.

Key Findings

Financial concerns take a heavy toll

The last few years have illustrated the vulnerability of on-trade alcoholic drinks to consumer economising efforts. The post-pandemic resurgence was short-lived, and volumes are under immense pressure from elevated living costs, which are driving a reduction in purchases as well as a shift to at-home occasions. Global on-trade volumes stand 10% lower than five years ago.

The on-trade remains an essential component of an omnichannel future

The erosion of on-trade alcohol in favour of retail is expected to persist, driven by economic uncertainty and a growing preference for out-of-home social events in which alcohol plays a secondary role. Nevertheless, the on-trade’s importance to value generation, product launches, and brand outreach means that a narrow focus on retail alone risks missing the big picture.

Value for money strategies extend beyond affordability

With a cautious approach to spending now embedded in the consumer mindset, on-trade visits are seen as a luxury. Venues are grappling with their own input cost pressures so consumer prices will remain high. Ultimately, the on-trade cannot compete with retail on price anyway. Finding ways to add value and justify the cost will therefore be key.

High quality experiences are deemed a spending priority

Value will be added by curating memorable occasions that cannot be replicated at home. The possibilities range from activities, games, and tech-focused concepts, to simple but seamless drinking experiences in inviting settings. Dividing spaces can effectively broaden appeal, while, alternatively, an environment tailored specifically to suit core consumers can build loyalty.

Community spaces are more important than ever

In-person connections and communities are the foundation of on-trade demand, and that need is only accentuated by the online nature of modern life. Championing on-trade spaces as community hubs – that foster offline connections through shared identities or interests – can both attract customers and build positive associations for venues and brand owners.

Why read this report?
Key findings
Converging challenges weigh heavily on the on-trade
A cautious spending mindset is here to stay
On-trade alcohol is highly exposed to economising efforts
The channel balance is tilted towards retail
Category variations reveal the complexity of the global landscape
Staying home the new going out? Bar/pub numbers plummet amid socialising shifts
Nightclubs battle for survival at the intersection of adverse trends
The difficulties, although substantial, do not overshadow the on-trade’s importance
With no let-up in pricing pressures, the on-trade must find ways to add value
Living in the moment: Immersive experiences are a compelling reason to spend
Knowing the audience: Many experiential strategies favour loyalty above reach
The perfect pour? Guinness elevates on-trade as part of a comprehensive approach
Jägermeister’s “Save The Night”: Backing the on-trade benefits from an authentic voice
The on-trade offers fertile ground for RTDs
Right place and right time: Maximising the space available
The hype around hyper-local: Sustainability and beyond
It’s who you know: Expert-led interactions shape perceptions
The on-trade has yet to fully tap into the no/low alcohol opportunity
Moderation without compromise
Enhancing the drinking experience in the digital age
Treading the line between tech frontiers and digital fatigue
Recommendations/opportunities for growth
The evolution of on-trade alcoholic drinks
Questions we are asking

Alcoholic Drinks

Alcoholic drinks is the aggregation of beer, wine, spirits, cider/perry and RTDs.

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