Where Consumers Shop for Staple Foods

May 2025

Inflation is affecting consumers' choices in grocery channels, leading to changes aimed at preserving purchasing power. Discounters and warehouse clubs are becoming more prominent, with a rapid increase in the number of outlets. After years of decline, small local grocers are gaining traction due to consumers' financial constraints. E-commerce is also expanding, benefitting from greater consumer acceptance and improved accessibility.

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Key Findings

Sales of staple foods continue to rise

In 2024, sales of staple foods continued to rise, sustaining the momentum gained during the pandemic. Despite ongoing inflationary pressures, both constant value and volume sales increased, however value growth did outpace volume growth. As essential components of most meals, staple foods have benefitted from the rise in at-home meal preparation, driven by hybrid work styles and consumers' efforts to reduce spending on more expensive foodservice options.

Discounters, warehouse clubs and local grocers thrive

Discounters and warehouse clubs are rapidly growing in many countries, gaining market share with private label products that cater to value-conscious consumers. Small local grocers are also increasing their presence by offering small pack sizes at competitive prices, appealing to budget-sensitive shoppers in emerging markets.

Grocery e-commerce faces new challenges as options expand

The share of staple food sales through grocery e-commerce has increased, building on the boost from the pandemic. However, consumers now have a wider array of grocery shopping options, both offline and online. Importantly, consumers are becoming more discerning about the extra cost associated with the convenience of online shopping. Offering value other than convenience is required to stand out in the crowd.

Stable demand for staple foods as essential goods

Although inflation is decreasing in many countries, the prices of numerous products and services remain a concern for consumers. Staple foods, being essential, are likely to benefit from frugal spending habits. The cost-of-living crisis is driving consumers to prioritise their expenditures and seek value, both in their choice of goods and shopping venues.

Scope
Key findings
Staple foods market resilient amidst eased inflation and geopolitical challenges
Baked goods lead staple foods with consistent growth
Asia Pacific dominates staple foods market, with India leading growth
While e-commerce rapidly grows, offline retail’s stronghold will be difficult to break
Channel shift by category and region
Inflation drives retail channel shifts in staple foods market
Offline retail dominates staple foods sales
Small grocers lead staple foods sales in emerging regions
Warehouse clubs now leads growth among grocery retailers
Global expansion of discounters driven by German giants amidst inflationary pressures
Staple foods remain essential and trading down is benefitting private label
Discounters are behind the strong growth of private label
E-commerce drives robust growth in staple foods market
South Korea leads the e-commerce penetration for staple foods
Staple foods e-commerce lags similar industries despite long shelf life
Grocery channel leads in staple foods e-commerce
Inflation slows, but consumers remain cautious amidst ongoing threats
Staple foods sales set to continue expansion
Price-sensitivity and convenience continue to drive retail channel growth
Convenience-seeking consumers again more willing to pay for it
Key takeaways

Staple Foods

NOTE: Couscous, polenta and quinoa are excluded from staple foods.

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