Dairy Products and Alternatives in Japan
Dairy products and alternatives in 2024: The big picture
What next for dairy products and alternatives?
Table 1 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2019-2024
Table 2 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2019-2024
Table 3 NBO Company Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2020-2024
Table 4 LBN Brand Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2021-2024
Table 5 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2019-2024
Table 6 Distribution of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Format: % Value 2019-2024
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2024-2029
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2024-2029
Summary 1 Research Sources
Baby Food in Japan
Price rises and increased activity outside the home benefit value sales of milk formula
Demand for baby food remains strong due to convenience and nutritional value
Significant expansion of liquid milk formula thanks to Meiji's new product
Declining birth rate set to negatively affect milk formula
Changing perception of baby-raising will benefit some categories
Liquid standard milk formula set to continue expanding
Table 9 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2019-2024
Table 10 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2019-2024
Table 11 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2019-2024
Table 12 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2019-2024
Table 13 Sales of Growing-Up Milk Formula by Age: % Value 2019-2024
Table 14 NBO Company Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2020-2024
Table 15 LBN Brand Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2021-2024
Table 16 Distribution of Baby Food by Format: % Value 2019-2024
Table 17 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2024-2029
Table 18 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2024-2029
Table 19 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2024-2029
Table 20 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2024-2029
Butter and Spreads in Japan
Price increases impact the volume performance of butter in 2024
J-Oil Mills Inc discontinues its long-selling brand Rama
Megmilk Snow Brand and Meiji continue to lead butter and spreads
The shift from margarine to butter is set to resume in multiple channels
Due to labour shortages, there is potential in products that contribute to alleviating problems in the foodservice industry
Table 21 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2019-2024
Table 22 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2019-2024
Table 23 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2019-2024
Table 24 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2019-2024
Table 25 NBO Company Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2020-2024
Table 26 LBN Brand Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2021-2024
Table 27 Distribution of Butter and Spreads by Format: % Value 2019-2024
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2024-2029
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2024-2029
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2024-2029
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2024-2029
Cheese in Japan
Price increases negatively impact the volume performance of cheese
Cooking cheese maintains momentum, while snacking cheese sees a fall in demand
Wide product range allows Megmilk Snow Brand to maintain its lead in cheese
The recovery of snacking cheese will be key for future sales of cheese
Dessert cheese set to attract attention due to appeal to younger generations and increasing consumer health consciousness
Table 32 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2019-2024
Table 33 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2019-2024
Table 34 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2019-2024
Table 35 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2019-2024
Table 36 Sales of Spreadable Cheese by Type: % Value 2019-2024
Table 37 Sales of Soft Cheese by Type: % Value 2019-2024
Table 38 Sales of Hard Cheese by Type: % Value 2019-2024
Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cheese: % Value 2020-2024
Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cheese: % Value 2021-2024
Table 41 Distribution of Cheese by Format: % Value 2019-2024
Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2024-2029
Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2024-2029
Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2024-2029
Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2024-2029
Drinking Milk Products in Japan
Continued impact of inflationary pressure drives down retail volume sales
J-milk stimulates demand amongst inbound tourists
Government and manufacturers continue to work together to stimulate demand
Synergistic collaborations for brand visibility and sales in Japan
Table 46 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2019-2024
Table 47 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2019-2024
Table 48 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2019-2024
Table 49 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2019-2024
Table 50 NBO Company Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2020-2024
Table 51 LBN Brand Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2021-2024
Table 52 Distribution of Drinking Milk Products by Format: % Value 2019-2024
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2024-2029
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2024-2029
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2024-2029
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2024-2029
Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products in Japan
Greek-style yoghurt continues to perform well despite inflationary pressure
Continued focus on sleep and stress control benefits
Yakult and Meiji lead yoghurt and sour milk products as they respond to consumer demand for health
Products that address various health issues expected in the future
Continuing polarisation between thrift and premium preferences
Plant-based yoghurts launched by major dairy players
Table 57 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2019-2024
Table 58 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2019-2024
Table 59 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2019-2024
Table 60 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2019-2024
Table 61 Sales of Flavoured Yoghurt by Flavour: Rankings 2019-2024
Table 62 NBO Company Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2020-2024
Table 63 LBN Brand Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2021-2024
Table 64 Distribution of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Format: % Value 2019-2024
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2024-2029
Table 66 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2024-2029
Table 67 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2024-2029
Table 68 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2024-2029
Other Dairy in Japan
Continued impact of inflationary pressure
Fromage frais and quark fits with the health trend
Morinaga leads other dairy due to wide product range and resilience
Other dairy set to see solid growth, driven by the popularity of chilled dairy desserts
Continuous competition for mass brands from convenience store private label lines
Potential of products to increase efficiency for business use in light of labour shortages
Table 69 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2019-2024
Table 70 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2019-2024
Table 71 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2019-2024
Table 72 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2019-2024
Table 73 Sales of Cream by Type: % Value 2019-2024
Table 74 NBO Company Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2020-2024
Table 75 LBN Brand Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2021-2024
Table 76 Distribution of Other Dairy by Format: % Value 2019-2024
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2024-2029
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2024-2029
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2024-2029
Table 80 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2024-2029
Plant-Based Dairy in Japan
Inflationary pressure negatively impacts plant-based dairy, in particular soy drinks
Products containing no sugar continue to perform well
Major dairy players join plant-based dairy
Maturity of soy drinks will continue to impact the growth of plant-based dairy
Other plant-based milk and plant-based yoghurt have potential for further growth, driven by expected promotion by dairy players
Foodservice channel as a consumer touchpoint, and capturing inbound demand
Table 81 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2019-2024
Table 82 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2019-2024
Table 83 Sales of Other Plant-Based Milk by Type: % Value 2021-2024
Table 84 NBO Company Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2020-2024
Table 85 LBN Brand Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2021-2024
Table 86 Distribution of Plant-Based Dairy by Format: % Value 2019-2024
Table 87 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2024-2029
Table 88 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2024-2029