The outlook for small local grocers remains challenging in the US, with difficulties expected to persist and potentially worsen in the near future. In current value terms, small local grocers is expected see fairly flat sales in the US in the forecast period.
The rise of small-format stores amongst major grocery chains is set to accelerate the decline of small local grocers, as industry giants adapt their models to capture both value-conscious and quality-seeking consumers. Once key differentiators for small local grocers, the appeal of convenience, curated selections, and neighbourhood accessibility are now being strategically leveraged by large-format grocers in their expansion into smaller, more agile store formats.
Food/drink/tobacco specialists is also facing mounting challenges, as grocery retail consolidation and the demand for convenience make it harder to justify an extra shopping trip. With outlet counts set to turn to decline later in the forecast period, these retailers are adapting to survive by refining their strategies to align with shifting consumer habits.
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Small local grocers are mostly independent retail outlets (with a selling space of under 400 square metres), kiosks, market stalls or street vendors, owned by families and/or run on an individual basis, and with a primary focus on selling food/beverages/tobacco and other groceries. Small local grocers also includes ethnic grocery stores that specialize in foreign brands and food types, health food stores, confectioners/newsagents/tobacconists (CTNs), food & drink souvenir stores, legally registered mobile shops that are run out of a truck, and regional specialty stores. Retail sales from farmers markets, farms, vineyards, or similar producers are also included in small local grocers. Outlets located within wet markets in Southeast Asia (often located in government-owned multi-story buildings) should be counted as separate outlets.
See all of our definitionsThis report originates from Passport, our Small Local Grocers research and analysis database.
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