Demand for baked goods in Australia is set to remain stable, with albeit undynamic retail volume growth over the forecast period. Despite a marginal downwards trend for bread in 2024, the long-term outlook is positive, driven by Australia’s population growth.
The foodservice channel in Australia is poised for a stronger rebound over the forecast period, with demand for baked goods set to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels by 2028. Throughout the review period, Australian consumers have demonstrated a clear preference for artisanal products offered by cafés, bakeries, and restaurants.
With the return to office work and improving economic conditions, convenience channels are expected to see a resurgence over the forecast period. Stores located near offices, schools, and transport hubs are set to benefit from increased foot traffic, as consumers shift back to on-the-go lifestyles.
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Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Baked Goods industry in Australia with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.
Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.
Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to a comprehensive range of core packaged food categories.
If you're in the Baked Goods industry in Australia, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.
Baked Goods
This is the aggregation of bread, pastries, dessert mixes, frozen baked goods and cakes. Note: in most cases, baked goods from in-store bakeries are classified under unpackaged/artisanal. While many such offerings may be finished on-site, they are often prepared, then frozen or par-baked, at other locations. Such production models are very important for supermarket in-store bakeries, which are often used to drive traffic and fill stores with appetising aromas, but for which the labour resources required to run a full-service scratch bakery are not always available. Baked goods baked from central bakeries sold unpackaged in other outlets are classified as unpackaged/artisanal. In the specific case of in-store bakery counters (for example, in supermarkets), if baked goods are finished on-site but then packaged (for example, in a box or bag) with a barcode and price, set out in the store for sale in this packaging and sold like any other packaged food product (i.e. a customer takes the packaged item from a shelf) then this is classified as packaged. If however the baked good is finished on-site, displayed unpackaged but then placed in packaging as part of the transaction (i.e. a supermarket worker at an in-store bakery counter/a customer places it in a box/bag after it has been chosen, to allow it to be carried safely) this is still classified as unpackaged.
See all of our definitionsThis report originates from Passport, our Baked Goods research and analysis database.
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